A Simple Analysis of the All-Stars

9 February, 1996

Every year, I take a quick look at the players in the All-Star Game. Sometimes, I get upset at the selections, but I promise not to do that this year. No, this year, I'll just show you some of my calculated stats and interpret them a little. For the standard stats, like field goals, assists, etc., I suggest you check out one of the locations in the Statistical Repository. I got mine from Doug Steele.

I have reproduced most of my full complement of stats for the all-stars below, but with one qualifier. All of my stats require some knowledge of the team's performance and -- well, I didn't have the time to input them all. So, the following individual stats account for the individuals in the context of a generic 0.500 team. I have studied this before, by the way. When you take a player's individual stats and put them in the context of a worse team, that player looks worse. You can figure out what it means for individuals being put in the context of a better team. So, most of the players below play on better than 0.500 teams and actually look better than their numbers below. This effect is exaggerated for the win-loss records and relatively small for the Floor Percentage and Offensive Rating. The defensive numbers are also contaminated less, except for the Defensive Rating.

What this means is that the offensive numbers in the first few columns are the most relevant. These show that the East has a slightly better offensive team and that they probably should be favored. The west is probably better defensively, though. But no one plays defense in the All-Star Game, do they?

Generally, I have favored the better offensive collection in the past. I'm not going to change that this year, but the numbers are a lot closer this year than in the past. What I would suggest to anyone who wants to do more is weight the stats by how much they expect people to play in the game then determine who looks better. For instance, first timers rarely get many minutes.

The Western All-Stars

	Scor.	Poss.	Floor	RTG	Points	Defensive	Stops		Def.	Off.	Offensive		Net	Net	Net	Wins		Loss	Net
	Poss.		Pct.		Prod.	Total	/Min	/Poss	Rtg.	Win%	Wins	Losses	Win%	W	L	Per	1000	Min.	Pts/48
Barkley	429	788	0.545	109.4	862	357	0.248	0.686	97.5	0.623	5.6	3.4	0.871	6.5	1.0	4.5		0.7	3.1
Drexler	387	717	0.539	114.3	820	328	0.209	0.576	101.9	0.774	6.4	1.9	0.871	6.2	0.9	3.9		0.6	2.7
Elliott	380	720	0.527	113.9	820	252	0.163	0.449	106.9	0.761	6.3	2.0	0.738	5.0	1.8	3.2		1.1	1.5
Kemp	469	856	0.548	105.3	901	427	0.265	0.731	95.7	0.467	4.6	5.2	0.829	6.9	1.4	4.3		0.9	2.4
Kidd	410	872	0.471	100.5	877	336	0.201	0.554	102.7	0.291	2.9	7.1	0.412	3.3	4.8	2.0		2.8	-0.6
Malone	614	1033	0.595	116.5	1204	424	0.236	0.653	98.8	0.824	9.8	2.1	0.939	8.9	0.6	5.0		0.3	4.9
Mutombo	261	494	0.528	101.2	500	463	0.268	0.739	95.3	0.314	1.8	3.9	0.728	4.7	1.8	2.7		1.0	0.8
Olajuwon	610	1134	0.538	105.2	1193	501	0.262	0.724	95.9	0.462	6.0	7.0	0.820	8.6	1.9	4.5		1.0	2.6
Payton	454	875	0.519	109.5	958	339	0.189	0.522	104.0	0.626	6.3	3.8	0.700	5.8	2.5	3.2		1.4	1.3
Richmond	421	789	0.534	117.5	927	252	0.164	0.452	106.8	0.844	7.6	1.4	0.829	5.9	1.2	3.9		0.8	2.6
Robinson	552	924	0.597	115.9	1071	471	0.275	0.760	94.5	0.810	8.6	2.0	0.967	8.7	0.3	5.1		0.2	5.5
Stockton	435	728	0.598	130.4	950	267	0.162	0.446	107.1	0.968	8.1	0.3	0.963	6.7	0.3	4.1		0.2	4.9
	5422	9929	0.546	111.6	11081	4418				0.649	74	40	0.808	77	18

The Eastern All-Stars

	Scor.	Poss.	Floor	RTG	Points	Defensive	Stops		Def.	Off.	Offensive		Net	Net	Net	Wins		Loss	Net
	Poss.		Pct.		Prod.	Total	/Min	/Poss	Rtg.	Win%	Wins	Losses	Win%	W	L	Per	1000	Min.	Pts/48
Baker	463	867	0.534	104.6	907	355	0.197	0.543	103.2	0.440	4.4	5.6	0.556	4.6	3.7	2.6		2.0	0.3
Brandon	447	796	0.561	120.9	962	284	0.175	0.482	105.6	0.895	8.2	1.0	0.902	6.7	0.7	4.1		0.4	3.6
Ewing	450	888	0.507	99.6	884	398	0.254	0.700	96.9	0.259	2.6	7.6	0.611	5.1	3.2	3.2		2.1	0.7
Hardaway	568	986	0.576	118.7	1170	332	0.183	0.505	104.7	0.864	9.8	1.5	0.888	7.9	1.0	4.4		0.5	3.7
Hill	497	902	0.551	108.4	977	379	0.212	0.585	101.5	0.585	6.1	4.3	0.746	6.4	2.2	3.6		1.2	1.7
Howard	437	865	0.505	100.4	869	310	0.178	0.493	105.2	0.286	2.8	7.1	0.316	2.5	5.5	1.5		3.2	-1.1
Jordan	666	1161	0.574	117.7	1367	364	0.202	0.557	102.6	0.847	11.3	2.0	0.906	9.1	0.9	5.0		0.5	4.7
Miller	397	710	0.559	122.8	872	225	0.147	0.405	108.7	0.918	7.5	0.7	0.883	5.8	0.8	3.8		0.5	3.1
Mourning	423	763	0.554	106.5	812	325	0.236	0.652	98.8	0.515	4.5	4.2	0.775	5.5	1.6	4.0		1.2	2.0
O'Neal	274	463	0.591	111.2	515	189	0.242	0.669	98.2	0.685	3.6	1.7	0.887	3.7	0.5	4.8		0.6	3.7
Pippen	481	898	0.535	115.0	1033	351	0.201	0.556	102.7	0.790	8.2	2.2	0.867	7.3	1.1	4.2		0.6	3.1
Rice	410	779	0.526	114.8	895	274	0.157	0.434	107.5	0.786	7.0	1.9	0.747	5.5	1.9	3.2		1.1	1.6
	5511	10078	0.547	111.8	11264	3784				0.657	76	40	0.752	70	23